I love these predictions. This one has another 18 months until it can be put to bed. My Grandfather was looking forward to flying cars.

The fundamental flaw in predicting the demise of a centralised IT department is that not everyone wants to program computers and of the one's that do, not everyone does it well. At some point people discover that a disciplined, coordinated approach to business functions is the most efficient and cost effective way to proceed.

Not every department does its own accountancy even though computers have made it possible.

I'm capable of doing leak free plumbing but I still pay a plumber to do it because I'd sooner spend my time doing other things.