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The More Things Change ... Expand / Collapse
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Posted Saturday, July 26, 2008 1:21 PM


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Post #541440
Posted Monday, July 28, 2008 1:52 AM
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In a previous career, I undertook a lot of market research in the paper industry. The advent of the electronic office was going to really hit the demand for paper. Oh yeah ???


Post #541648
Posted Monday, July 28, 2008 6:29 AM


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We were all told in the 90's that the need for computer technology would grow exponentially for the foreseeable future. This implied that the need for the people needed to make the computers do their thing would also grow in the same way. The problem was that we were only adding technically literate people with simple addition, not exponentially. Companies were getting afraid because they technically could not pay us what we were really worth, given a slowly growing pool of personell vs a skyrocketing need. The principle of Supply and Demand was working in our favor.

Then someone figured out how to run wires over to other countries, and the corporations figured they didn't need us anymore. Hence the 'bubble burst' a few years back. Hello unemployment for a lot of computer people.

However, the need for the machines is continuing to grow exponentially, so even with all of the developers in other countries, the market is heating up again. I'm hearing predictions that competent people who are willing to keep up with changing technology will have no problems with employment. I'm not sure how long it will last, but right now the prospects are looking good...


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Post #541822
Posted Monday, July 28, 2008 6:32 AM


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I do believe that we're making buggy whips and at some point a horseless carriage is going to drive by, but it's not in sight at the moment, despite the doom sayers.

This weekend we had a production system launch an alert every five minutes. Drilling down, I found a vendor supplied database that had a table on it that was 61 columns wide, every single column was a varchar(125). It's just like you said, the servers are easy to install, but what is supposed to go in them is still evidently a mystery. It made me feel better about my employment status as a development DBA for another couple of years.


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Post #541826
Posted Monday, July 28, 2008 7:03 AM


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I think there will always be opportunities for competent Technical people, because no matter how simple a computer or software product is to use it still needs to be designed, developed and managed. The role a DBA plays in that will probably change as it has over the time I have been in IT. It may be the DBA job becomes more of a monitoring role for data services on the "Cloud" like SQL Server Data Services or possibly monitoring a "mirror" of cloud data to a local system for redundancy. Who knows where it will end up, but there will always be a need for someone to make it work faster and reliably.



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Post #541855
Posted Monday, July 28, 2008 7:18 AM


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I agree with SomeGuy - you have to be willing to keep up with technology. If you're the kind of person who wants to learn something in college and then do that thing for the next 50 years, take up accounting or law - technology isn't for you.

On another note: Who made the claim SQL Server 7 was so easy you wouldn't need a DBA?

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Post #541872
Posted Monday, July 28, 2008 7:20 AM
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The more any profession changes the more its members are ensured a future that cannot be automated.
Post #541877
Posted Monday, July 28, 2008 7:39 AM
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I think until the machines can cultivate and develop us humans, a la Matrix, then us lowly DBAs have nothing to worry about. :)
Post #541896
Posted Monday, July 28, 2008 8:36 AM


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I believe the Microsoft touted that in some early marketing for SQL 7. I've have to go research the exact wordings, but I had a lot of friends asking me why they should hire me or anyone else.







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Post #541944
Posted Monday, July 28, 2008 8:48 AM


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Andy Leonard (7/28/2008)
I agree with SomeGuy - you have to be willing to keep up with technology. If you're the kind of person who wants to learn something in college and then do that thing for the next 50 years, take up accounting or law - technology isn't for you.
Andy


I think this is the key thing to remember. The job functions currently performed by the DBA may become more automated, or they may be able to be handled remotely and so outsourced, but someone has to be on hand to install, check for fried connections (or deal with flooded hardware if you live near flood zones), or handle the higher level design functions, etc.

But don't count on all the boomers retiring. If you have read anything other than tech manuals lately you may have heard that people are working longer, deferring retirement, or working part time so they can keep their health benefits (or just keep up with the bills). Among my personal friends we all agree we want to work until we are at least 70, maybe older. None of us can imagine dealing with the boredom of sitting around the house watching (ugh!) daytime TV.
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