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The Growth of Storage Expand / Collapse
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Posted Thursday, January 17, 2013 9:11 PM


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Post #1408701
Posted Friday, January 18, 2013 4:21 AM


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My guess is currently 20 years.
Unless there is a full breakthrough on optical / biological storage mechanisms that just are started in research.
That technology has the potential to reset Moore's law.

Also that processing is only limited by the speed of light / speed of signal emitting we can build.
Post #1408816
Posted Friday, January 18, 2013 6:23 AM
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When we get there. ... soon, very soon. Storage? What Storage?
Post #1408868
Posted Friday, January 18, 2013 6:25 AM


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I regret aging myself by saying that my first home pc had 640kb RAM (that's all we'll ever need right? ) and 20MB hard drive. I constantly had to delete one application to make room for another as I was learning my way through them.

I expect it to take less than 20 years.
Post #1408870
Posted Friday, January 18, 2013 6:56 AM
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My first computer (apple 2) had 64K of memory.

Hardware specs for mobile devices will mean less and less as move computing moves to the cloud. My 6 year old PC works just fine for running web apps. You can get 1 TB of memory for your laptop and it won't be any faster than my home PC for most things.
Post #1408889
Posted Friday, January 18, 2013 6:57 AM


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I have no idea when we'll get there, but I have no doubt we will, though I truely suspect we will see a return to dumb terminals and huge servers, if not mainframe type servers.

While we are dating ourselves, my first computer in a High School classroom was 16KB memory and a cassette tape drive, afterwards I graduated to a Commadore 64 for my personal computer, and my first work computer still had only HD 3.5 floppy drives.
Post #1408890
Posted Friday, January 18, 2013 7:04 AM


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-=JLK=- (1/18/2013)
While we are dating ourselves, my first computer in a High School classroom was 16KB memory and a cassette tape drive, afterwards I graduated to a Commadore 64 for my personal computer, and my first work computer still had only HD 3.5 floppy drives.


You win! My IBM XT had a 5.25 floppy drive and it took 3+ boxes of of them to install my accounting software. Fun times....
Post #1408894
Posted Friday, January 18, 2013 7:29 AM
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I think that before we get there storage/RAM on a laptop will become a moot point. We will have virtual machines in a cloud that we will access with a tablet/phone/desktop like device from wherever we are. The virtual machines will have whatever we need or have contracted for and can grow or shrink based on our usage.
Post #1408914
Posted Friday, January 18, 2013 7:31 AM
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I think I was sort of saying that! Sure beats clay tablets and sticks!
Post #1408916
Posted Friday, January 18, 2013 7:34 AM


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I would like to say that this will never happen, but I believe that "workstations" will only get 2 TB of RAM only when it becomes economically sensible to stop producing chips with smaller capacities (servers or scientific/math calculations are obviously a different story). We definitely can joke about the old "640k should be enough for anyone", but at some point there is no practical reason for more RAM on a "workstation" for example:

Full HD video is something like 10GB/hr - Let's say in the future we have Quad HD (2160p) 60 FPS 3D movies, that's 160 GB per hour or 320 GB per movie on average (with movies trending longer). Is there any practical purpose to be able to cache six such movies in RAM on a worstation especially considering that network pipes and local storage speeds will also be expanding over time?
Post #1408918
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