Nice article on forecasting using T-SQL! I know it's been a while since you wrote this article but wanted to know if you think this technique would work with a scenario I am faced with on a project.
My scenario is a table of risks with a value for severity, probability and a criticality index value. I would like to predict or forecast the number of risks most likely on the fly so not stored in a table for a charting solution. Basically, I would chart the actual values and then based upon a choosen date display the forecast values to the right and the actual values to the left of the choosen date.
As of now I am rolling up the number of risks by a category or risk type for a monthly rollup which works fine. I'd like to take this data and then do a forecast for future months like you do in this article for say 6 to 12 months ahead from a choosen (parameter) now date.
So in your article you use products and in my scenario I have risks. Do you think I could use this technique to do the forecasts? The forecasts would only have to project an integer or count value based on the historical number of risks in previous months of a project.
Thanks in advance!
Chad E. Downey, CDMP - Certified Data Management Professional
Consultant - SQL Server, SSIS, SSRS, SSAS