Estimated rows seems to be incorrect

  • I have come across an issue where the estimated rows dont appear to be what they should be. I may misunderstand how estimated are derived so I am just looking for some clarification. I will apologize in advanced for not being able to supply a working demo of the issue as I have not been able to re-create is in any other database but same issue occurs in any table I have tried within database.

    The server is 2014 RTM-CU10 (cant update to SP1 because application not certified yet) and the server collation is Latin1_General_BIN.

    here is an example of table

    CREATE TABLE [dbo].[PERSON](

    [ID] [varchar](10) NOT NULL,

    [FIRST_NAME] [varchar](30) NULL,

    CONSTRAINT [PK_PERSON] PRIMARY KEY CLUSTERED

    ([ID] ASC))

    CREATE NONCLUSTERED INDEX [IX_PERSON_FIRST_NAME] ON [dbo].[PERSON]([FIRST_NAME] ASC)WITH (FILLFACTOR = 80)

    below is an excerpt from the histogram when running DBCC Show_statistics('PERSON','IX_PERSON_FIRST_NAME')

    RANGE_HI_KEYRANGE_ROWSEQ_ROWSDISTINCT_RANGE_ROWSAVG_RANGE_ROWS

    Laurie5352191403.821429

    Lee9801532334.206008

    Leslie13932503603.869444

    Linda9568253163.025316

    now when I run the following query I get 153 estimated rows.

    SELECT ID,FIRST_NAME

    FROM PERSON

    WHERE FIRST_NAME = 'Lee David'

    OPTION(RECOMPILE)

    <RelOp AvgRowSize="24" EstimateCPU="0.0003253" EstimateIO="0.003125" EstimateRebinds="0" EstimateRewinds="0" EstimatedExecutionMode="Row" EstimateRows="153" LogicalOp="Index Seek" NodeId="0" Parallel="false" PhysicalOp="Index Seek" EstimatedTotalSubtreeCost="0.0034503" TableCardinality="268380">

    Books online states the RANGE_HI_KEY is "Upper bound column value for a histogram step" so shouldn't the predicate "Lee David" fall into the next step(RANGE_HI_KEY = Leslie) and have an estimate of 3.869444.

    Am I misunderstanding how this should work or is this not working the way it should? Thanks

    Bob
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